Uluslararas\u0131 kredi derecelendirme kurulu\u015fu S&P K\u00fcresel, Avrupa’n\u0131n savunma harcamalar\u0131na ait se\u00e7enekleri i\u00e7eren raporunu yay\u0131mlad\u0131.<\/p>\n
Raporda, Rusya-Ukrayna Sava\u015f\u0131’n\u0131n Avrupa’n\u0131n g\u00fcvenlik zafiyetlerini ortaya \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131\u011f\u0131, Avrupa \u00fclkelerinin, 2014’ten bu yana savunma harcamalar\u0131n\u0131 neredeyse iki kat\u0131 art\u0131rmalar\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131n hala NATO’nun Gayri Safi Yurt i\u00e7i Has\u0131la’n\u0131n (GSYH) y\u00fczde 2’si olarak belirledi\u011fi amac\u0131n alt\u0131nda kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 kaydedildi.<\/p>\n
ABD’nin, NATO’nun askeri b\u00fct\u00e7esinin yakla\u015f\u0131k \u00fc\u00e7te ikisini finanse etti\u011fi belirtilen raporda, mali k\u0131s\u0131tlamalar\u0131n Avrupa \u00fclkelerinin askeri harcamalar\u0131 art\u0131rma kapasitesini s\u0131n\u0131rlad\u0131\u011f\u0131, bu nedenle \u00fclkelerin AB takviyeli tahviller \u00fczere savunma i\u00e7in ortak finansman se\u00e7eneklerini ara\u015ft\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131 aktar\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n
Raporda, ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Trump’\u0131n, NATO \u00fcyelerine GSYH’lerinin y\u00fczde 5’ini savunmaya harcamalar\u0131 davetinde bulundu\u011fu an\u0131msat\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n
3 FARKLI SENARYO DE\u011eERLEND\u0130R\u0130LD\u0130<\/b><\/p>\n
NATO \u00fcyesi Avrupa \u00fclkelerinin savunma harcamalar\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rmalar\u0131na y\u00f6nelik 3 farkl\u0131 senaryonun yer ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 raporda, birinci senaryoda savunma harcamalar\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde 2,67’ye, ikinci senaryoda ABD d\u00fczeyi olan y\u00fczde 3,3’e, \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc senaryoda da y\u00fczde 5’e y\u00fckseltilmesi durumu de\u011ferlendirildi.<\/p>\n
Raporda, senaryolar \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde savunma harcamalar\u0131n\u0131n y\u0131lda 242 milyar dolardan 875 milyar dolara kadar art\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcrken, bilhassa y\u00fczde 5’lik bir art\u0131\u015f\u0131n, ba\u015fka harcamalarda kesintiler yap\u0131lmadan yahut kredi d\u00fczeyleri bask\u0131 alt\u0131na girmeden finanse edilemeyece\u011fi bildirildi.<\/p>\n
Avrupa Birli\u011fi (AB) mali kurallar\u0131nda de\u011fi\u015fiklik yap\u0131lmamas\u0131 durumunda, birden fazla Birlik \u00fcyesi \u00fclkenin savunma harcamalar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f d\u00fczeyini kar\u015f\u0131lamak i\u00e7in b\u00fct\u00e7elerini yine \u00f6nceliklere nazaran d\u00fczenlemek zorunda kalaca\u011f\u0131 belirtilen raporda, savunmaya daha fazla harcama yapabilmek i\u00e7in toplumsal harcamalar\u0131n kesilmesinin gerekebilece\u011fi ve bunun de\u011ferli siyasi sonu\u00e7lar do\u011furabilece\u011fi tabir edildi.<\/p>\n
Y\u00dcZDE 5 SAVUNMA HARCAMASI EKONOM\u0130LER\u0130 MAKUS ETK\u0130LEYECEK<\/b><\/p>\n
Raporda, bir\u00e7ok Avrupa \u00fclkesinin halihaz\u0131rda y\u00fcksek kamu borcu ve b\u00fct\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131yla gayret etti\u011fi, yava\u015flayan ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme, n\u00fcfus art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n s\u00fcrat kesmesi ve artan toplumsal maliyetler ortas\u0131nda daha fazla askeri harcama yapman\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7 olaca\u011f\u0131 belirtildi.<\/p>\n
Y\u00fczde 5 savunma harcamas\u0131 senaryosunda, 2025 y\u0131l\u0131 b\u00fct\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n Romanya’da y\u00fczde 9,5, Fransa’da y\u00fczde 8,9, \u0130talya’da y\u00fczde 7,1 ve \u0130ngiltere’de y\u00fczde 7’ye \u00e7\u0131kaca\u011f\u0131 belirtilen raporda, bu art\u0131\u015f\u0131n kredi notlar\u0131n\u0131 olumsuz etkileyebilece\u011fi bildirildi.<\/p>\n
Raporda, artan askeri harcamalar\u0131n ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi te\u015fvik etmesinin beklenmedi\u011fi vurgulanarak, AB’de savunma harcamalar\u0131n\u0131n mali \u00e7arpan tesirinin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 hat\u0131rlat\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n
Savunma harcamalar\u0131 konusunda ortak bor\u00e7lanman\u0131n bir se\u00e7enek oldu\u011funa i\u015faret edilen raporda, Almanya dahil birtak\u0131m \u00fclkeler buna kar\u015f\u0131 \u00e7\u0131ksa da Norve\u00e7 ve \u0130ngiltere \u00fczere AB \u00fcyesi olmayan \u00fclkeleri de i\u00e7eren bir ortak finansman d\u00fczenlemesinin kredi prestijini g\u00fc\u00e7lendirece\u011fi belirtildi.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Milletleraras\u0131 kredi derecelendirme kurulu\u015fu S&P K\u00fcresel, Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n savunma b\u00fct\u00e7esine dair \u00fc\u00e7 farkl\u0131 senaryonun ele al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131 kapsaml\u0131 bir rapor yay\u0131mlad\u0131. Raporda, Rusya-Ukrayna Sava\u015f\u0131\u2019n\u0131n g\u00fcvenlik zafiyetlerini g\u00f6zler \u00f6n\u00fcne serdi\u011fi, Avrupa \u00fclkelerinin savunma harcamalar\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rmas\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131n NATO gayesinin gerisinde kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirtildi.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":37065,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[24],"tags":[435,4384,107,1404,5711],"class_list":["post-37064","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","tag-avrupa","tag-harcamalari","tag-raporda","tag-savunma","tag-senaryo"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ikimisli.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/37064","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ikimisli.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ikimisli.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ikimisli.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ikimisli.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=37064"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/ikimisli.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/37064\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":37066,"href":"https:\/\/ikimisli.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/37064\/revisions\/37066"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ikimisli.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/37065"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ikimisli.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=37064"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ikimisli.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=37064"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ikimisli.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=37064"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}