{"id":76232,"date":"2025-09-02T05:32:19","date_gmt":"2025-09-02T05:32:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ikimisli.tr\/?p=76232"},"modified":"2025-09-02T05:32:19","modified_gmt":"2025-09-02T05:32:19","slug":"beklenen-ekonomik-krizin-yeri-ve-zamani-belli-oldu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ikimisli.tr\/index.php\/2025\/09\/02\/beklenen-ekonomik-krizin-yeri-ve-zamani-belli-oldu\/","title":{"rendered":"Beklenen ekonomik krizin yeri ve zaman\u0131 belli oldu!"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Japonya h\u00fck\u00fcmetinin gelecek mali y\u0131la ait harcama talepleri, \u00fcst \u00fcste \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc defa rekor d\u00fczeye \u00e7\u0131kacak. Reuters\u2019\u0131n elde etti\u011fi tasla\u011fa nazaran, bu durum \u00fclkenin berbatla\u015fan mali yap\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 toparlama konusundaki zorluklar\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6zler \u00f6n\u00fcne seriyor.<\/p>\n<p>Muhalefetin vergi indirimi davetleriyle kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya olan Ba\u015fbakan \u015eigeru \u0130\u015fiba liderli\u011findeki az\u0131nl\u0131k koalisyonu, b\u00fct\u00e7eyi parlamentodan ge\u00e7irmek i\u00e7in bu talepleri dikkate almak zorunda kalacak.<\/p>\n<p><b>TOPLAM HARCAMA TALEB\u0130 122,45 TR\u0130LYON YEN<\/b><\/p>\n<p>Tasla\u011fa nazaran kamu kurumlar\u0131, 2026 mali y\u0131l\u0131 i\u00e7in toplam 122,45 trilyon yen (yakla\u015f\u0131k 831,1 milyar dolar) mebla\u011f\u0131nda harcama talebinde bulunacak. En b\u00fcy\u00fck hissesi 34,8 trilyon yen ile sa\u011fl\u0131k bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 alacak. Bu kayna\u011f\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fck k\u0131sm\u0131, ya\u015flanan n\u00fcfusun artan toplumsal g\u00fcvenlik masraflar\u0131n\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131lamaya ayr\u0131lacak.<\/p>\n<p><b>JAPONYA&#8217;NIN DEVASA BOR\u00c7LARI<\/b><\/p>\n<p>Ayr\u0131ca, Japonya\u2019n\u0131n devasa bor\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131n faiz ve anapara \u00f6demeleri i\u00e7in 32,4 trilyon yen ile yeni bir rekor talep kelam konusu. Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n faiz art\u0131\u015flar\u0131 ve y\u00fckselen tahvil getirileri, bor\u00e7lanma maliyetlerini daha da art\u0131r\u0131yor. Savunma harcamalar\u0131 i\u00e7in de 8,8 trilyon yenlik rekor bir talep yer al\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p><b>MAL\u0130YE BAKANLI\u011eI \u0130NCELEYECEK<\/b><\/p>\n<p>Maliye Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131, t\u00fcm talepleri g\u00f6zden ge\u00e7irerek h\u00fck\u00fcmetin 2026 taslak b\u00fct\u00e7esini y\u0131l sonuna kadar \u015fekillendirecek. Kesin b\u00fct\u00e7e daha sonra parlamentonun onay\u0131na sunulacak.<\/p>\n<p>Tahvil getirileri son periyotta y\u00fckseli\u015fte. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, \u0130\u015fiba\u2019n\u0131n zay\u0131f siyasi pozisyonunun Japonya\u2019n\u0131n, iktisad\u0131n\u0131n iki kat\u0131na ula\u015fan devasa borcunu dizginleme gayretlerini nas\u0131l etkileyece\u011fine odaklan\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p>Mali disiplin yanl\u0131s\u0131 olarak bilinen \u0130\u015fiba, Temmuz ay\u0131nda \u00fcst meclisteki se\u00e7im hezimetinin akabinde partisinden istifa davetleriyle kar\u015f\u0131la\u015fm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. \u0130\u015fiba\u2019n\u0131n h\u00fck\u00fcmeti i\u00e7in en kritik imtihan, Liberal Demokrat Parti\u2019nin 8 Eyl\u00fcl\u2019de yeni lider se\u00e7imi i\u00e7in yar\u0131\u015f d\u00fczenleyip d\u00fczenlemeyece\u011fine karar verece\u011fi s\u00fcre\u00e7 olacak.<\/p>\n<p>Mitsubishi UFJ Morgan Stanley Securities k\u0131demli sabit getiri stratejisti Takahiro Otsuka, \u201cMali disipline vurgu yapan \u0130\u015fiba\u2019n\u0131n onay oranlar\u0131 y\u00fckseliyor. Lakin yakla\u015fan siyasi takvim g\u00f6z \u00f6n\u00fcne al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda piyasalar, mali geni\u015flemenin daha da artabilece\u011fi riskini g\u00f6z gerisi etmiyor\u201d de\u011ferlendirmesinde bulundu.<\/p>\n<p>Nikkei gazetesi ise ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz hafta, 2026 b\u00fct\u00e7esinde harcama taleplerinin 122 trilyon yeni a\u015faca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 bildirmi\u015fti.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Japonya\u2019da 2026 b\u00fct\u00e7esi i\u00e7in yap\u0131lan harcama talepleri 122,45 trilyon yen ile rekor k\u0131rd\u0131. Artan toplumsal g\u00fcvenlik sarfiyatlar\u0131 ve bor\u00e7lanma maliyetleri mali istikrarlar\u0131 zorluyor. Gelecek sene Japonya&#8217;n\u0131n global krizin de ba\u015flamas\u0131na \u00f6nc\u00fcl\u00fck etmesi bekleniyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":76233,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[24],"tags":[363,8897,5559],"class_list":["post-76232","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","tag-harcama","tag-isiba","tag-talep"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ikimisli.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/76232","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ikimisli.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ikimisli.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ikimisli.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ikimisli.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=76232"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/ikimisli.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/76232\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":76234,"href":"https:\/\/ikimisli.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/76232\/revisions\/76234"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ikimisli.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/76233"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ikimisli.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=76232"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ikimisli.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=76232"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ikimisli.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=76232"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}