{"id":88614,"date":"2026-01-11T23:24:04","date_gmt":"2026-01-11T23:24:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ikimisli.tr\/?p=88614"},"modified":"2026-01-11T23:24:04","modified_gmt":"2026-01-11T23:24:04","slug":"ekonomi-2028e-kadar-dayanmaz-sandik-ufukta-gorunuyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ikimisli.tr\/index.php\/2026\/01\/11\/ekonomi-2028e-kadar-dayanmaz-sandik-ufukta-gorunuyor\/","title":{"rendered":"Ekonomi 2028\u2019e kadar dayanmaz! Sand\u0131k ufukta g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Y\u00fcksek enflasyon ve artan yoksulluk nedeniyle mevcut iktisat siyasetlerinin 2028 May\u0131s\u2019\u0131na kadar dayanamayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 aktaran ekonomistler, erken se\u00e7imin b\u00fcy\u00fck bir m\u00fcmk\u00fcnl\u00fck oldu\u011funu belirtiyor. \u0130ktidar, 2026\u2019y\u0131 \u2018erken se\u00e7ime haz\u0131rl\u0131k y\u0131l\u0131\u2019 olarak de\u011ferlendirip, cephane biriktirdikten sonra 2027\u2019de \u2018se\u00e7im ekonomisi\u2019 siyasetlerine ba\u015flayabilir.<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u2018B\u00dcY\u00dcME HIZLANIR\u2019<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Ekonomist Prof. Dr. Sadi Uzuno\u011flu dezenflasyonu hedefleyen siyasetlerden erken se\u00e7im u\u011fruna vazge\u00e7ilebilece\u011fini aktararak, \u201cKemerleri 2026\u2019da da s\u0131kar\u0131z, 2027\u2019de geni\u015fletici siyasetlere d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f olabilir. 2026\u2019da s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131 bir y\u0131l olacak\u201d dedi. \u0130ktisat\u00e7\u0131 Prof. Dr. Aziz Konukman ise erken se\u00e7imin ipu\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131n bu y\u0131l ortaya \u00e7\u0131kabilece\u011fini belirterek, \u201cBu y\u0131l memura, emekliye refah hissesi verilirse, minimum fiyat iki kez belirlenirse erken se\u00e7im beklentileri 2027 y\u0131l\u0131na kayabilir\u201d diye konu\u015ftu.<\/p>\n<p>Prof. Dr. Refet G\u00fcrkaynak ise 2027\u2019de erken se\u00e7im ihtimalinin bu y\u0131l\u0131n iktisat g\u00fcndemini de \u015fekillendirece\u011fini belirterek \u201c2027\u2019de se\u00e7im beklentisi varsa iktidar\u0131n temel amac\u0131 enflasyonu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmekten fazla, b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi h\u0131zland\u0131rmak olabilir. B\u00fcy\u00fcme u\u011fruna enflasyonda y\u00fczde 20 yerine y\u00fczde 23 d\u00fczeylerine g\u00f6z yumulabilir\u201d dedi. G\u00fcrkaynak se\u00e7im iktisad\u0131yla minimum fiyata orta art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131n, sanayiciye takviye siyasetlerin devreye al\u0131nabilece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.  <\/p>\n<p>Mevcut maliye siyasetinin h\u00e2l\u00e2 vatanda\u015fa \u2018ac\u0131 re\u00e7ete\u2019 uygulad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yleyen Ekonomist Murat Kubilay, 2027 ve sonras\u0131 i\u00e7in mahall\u00ee se\u00e7imlerle s\u00fcrpriz bir erken se\u00e7imin g\u00fcndeme gelebilece\u011fini belirtti. Kubilay\u2019a nazaran se\u00e7im tarihine yakla\u015f\u0131k 6 ay kala iktisat idaresinin alaca\u011f\u0131 kararlarla tablo netle\u015fecek.<\/p>\n<p><b><span>\u2018Program\u0131n \u00f6mr\u00fc 2027\u2019de biter\u2019<\/span><\/b><\/p>\n<p>Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n eski Lider Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 Ekonomist Fatih \u00d6zatay erken se\u00e7im tart\u0131\u015fmas\u0131yla ilgili, \u201cEkonomi program\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6mr\u00fc b\u00fcy\u00fck ihtimalle 2027\u2019nin ba\u015flar\u0131nda biter. Yerine \u2018se\u00e7im ekonomisi\u2019 kod isimli yeni bir iktisat program\u0131 gelir: Bol kredi, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck faiz, c\u00f6mert fiyat art\u0131\u015flar\u0131, art\u0131r\u0131lmayan g\u00fc\u00e7 fiyatlar\u0131\u201d g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc payla\u015ft\u0131. Prof. Dr. Hakk\u0131 \u00d6zt\u00fcrk de erken se\u00e7im tarihini \u00f6ng\u00f6rmenin s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131 oldu\u011funu belirttikten sonra \u201cSe\u00e7imden 12-15 ay evvel iktisat siyasetlerinde gev\u015feme olacakt\u0131r. \u015eayet erken se\u00e7im olacaksa 2026\u2019n\u0131n son \u00e7eyre\u011finde se\u00e7im iktisad\u0131 siyasetlerine ge\u00e7i\u015f olabilir\u201d dedi.<\/p>\n<p><b><span>Yabanc\u0131lar da erken se\u00e7ime dikkat \u00e7ekti<\/span><\/b><\/p>\n<p>Uluslararas\u0131 kuru\u015flar da erken se\u00e7im ihtimalini y\u00fcksek g\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Kredi derecelendirme kurulu\u015fu Fitch Solutions BMI makro analisti James Bennett, bir TV kanal\u0131nda yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamada, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin yap\u0131sal d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm basama\u011f\u0131na gelemedi\u011fini, dezenflasyon s\u00fcrecinin duraklad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6z ederek, 2028 y\u0131l\u0131 yerine 2027 y\u0131l\u0131nda erken se\u00e7im yap\u0131labilece\u011fine y\u00f6nelik beklentilerin s\u0131k\u0131 maliye siyasetini s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmeyi zorla\u015ft\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131na da dikkat \u00e7ekmi\u015fti.<\/p>\n<p><b><span>Hazine 1.2 trilyon liray\u0131 bekletiyor<\/span><\/b><\/p>\n<p>Ekonomistler  se\u00e7im iktisad\u0131 uygulanmas\u0131 halinde dolarizasyon riskine kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n alt\u0131n tesiriyle 200 milyar dolara dayanan rezervini kullanarak d\u00f6viz kurlar\u0131n\u0131 m\u00fcdahale edebilece\u011fini iddia ediyor. Hazine ve Maliye Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131, kasas\u0131nda 1.2 trilyon liral\u0131k birikimi bulunmas\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131n bu sene y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda y\u00fczde 52 art\u0131\u015fla 5.9 trilyon liral\u0131k rekor bor\u00e7lanma ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirecek.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ekonomistler, 2026\u2019da kemer s\u0131kma siyasetinin s\u00fcrece\u011fini, 2027\u2019de se\u00e7im iktisad\u0131na ge\u00e7ilece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Aziz Konukman \u201c\u0130ktidar, ekonomiyi 2028 May\u0131s ay\u0131na kadar g\u00f6t\u00fcremeyebilir\u201d diye konu\u015ftu.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":88615,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[24],"tags":[1136,3614,1366,9653],"class_list":["post-88614","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","tag-ekonomi","tag-erken-secim","tag-politikalarin","tag-secim-ekonomisi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ikimisli.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/88614","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ikimisli.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ikimisli.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ikimisli.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ikimisli.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=88614"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/ikimisli.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/88614\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":88616,"href":"https:\/\/ikimisli.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/88614\/revisions\/88616"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ikimisli.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/88615"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ikimisli.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=88614"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ikimisli.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=88614"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ikimisli.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=88614"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}